No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $6.09K
- Potential payout
- $6.1K
- Potential profit
- $12.21
- User PnL
- $574.86
Polymarket Trader
TheTradingGame
0x0be0a891059b09df3dd74409732c3232954fd115
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.11K
- Realized PnL
- $13.19K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2.78K
- Potential payout
- $3.18K
- Potential profit
- $397.13
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $14.12
No position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$948
No position
U.S. enacts stablecoin bill in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $930.48
- Potential profit
- $930.48
- User PnL
- -$370.99
No position
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $237.27
- Potential payout
- $253.76
- Potential profit
- $16.49
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $179.98
- Potential profit
- $179.98
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51K
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48K
No position
Starmer out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42K
No position
Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act (H.B. 1598) signed in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15K
No position
Harry & Meghan divorce in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $417.46
No position
Trump announce run for 3rd term?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $363.59
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.36
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $112.44
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.5
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.05
No position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.43
No position
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.99
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.31
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.87
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.67
Alcaraz position
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.55
No position
Will GameStop buy more Bitcoin before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.17
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.12
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.77
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.93
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.9
No position
Andrii Yermak arrested by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.37
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 88% 77 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No 99.5% 5,633.93 shares
- Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?No 93% 253.76 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 56% 350.87 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 57% 350.88 shares
- Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 5.6% 179.98 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 91.9% 142.4 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 59% 250 shares
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes 73.2% 50.23 shares
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes 41.8% 50.24 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?No 96.3% 10 shares
- Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes 7% 142.86 shares