Polymarket Trader

Dnortho

0x0be36930ee170a7f2e5c0ea660677400deb7ed9e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $293.82
Realized PnL: $252.12
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Israel strike on Iran on June 28?

Ends Jun 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $877.54
Potential profit: $877.54
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Israel strike on Iran on June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $310.61
Potential profit: $310.61
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $59.16
Potential payout: $116
Potential profit: $56.84
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $23.76

Yes position

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?

Ends Aug 12, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $40.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $59.5
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$31.5

No position

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?

Ends Aug 12, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $59.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $40.5
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $33.5

Yes position

Will Core CPI YoY be 3.0% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.69
Potential profit: $98.69
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.7%
Current value: $24.85
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $25.15
Multiplier: 2.01x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?

Ends Aug 12, 2026

Implied probability: 28.1%
Current value: $14.07
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $35.93
Multiplier: 3.55x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $17.15
Potential payout: $49
Potential profit: $31.85
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $1.79

Yes position

Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.05
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $2.7
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $27.3
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $26.25
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $3.75
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $9.75
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $20.25
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $6.15
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $23.85
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 13-19?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.35
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$16.35

No position

Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $23.85
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $6.15
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $6.3
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $23.69
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.11
Potential profit: $20.11
User PnL: -$18.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.94

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.25

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by September 30?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.25

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.32

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.61

Yes position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.28

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.27

No position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$14.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Down 98.5% 101.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Down 0.1% 5,000 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

No 94.2% 20.11 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?

No 34.1% 53.13 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?

No 62.7% 28.13 shares
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Yes 32% 17 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

No 30% 26 shares
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 89% 30 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 86.5% 115.61 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Yes 33% 296.05 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Yes 76% 394.74 shares
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?

Yes 97.9% 102.15 shares