No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
0x0C05CfF0afc9793E606Abd613EE970C29A15D190-1774547582436
0x0c05cff0afc9793e606abd613ee970c29a15d190
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $306
- Realized PnL
- $135.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $931.77
- Potential profit
- $931.77
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $306
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $94
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.65
- Potential profit
- $56.65
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.09
- Potential profit
- $35.09
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.07
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.63
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $26.03
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.41
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.86
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 75% 400 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.6% 271.11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 90% 271.11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 99.8% 133.33 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 8% 250 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 75% 133.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 99.8% 16.39 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?No 57% 35.09 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No 38% 52.63 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 3.2% 931.77 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 34% 29.41 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 67% 2.99 shares