Polymarket Trader

qwertyabcde

@cezararaujo12

0x0c116fbb377a6b993edf8932f9b1f5f389cb488b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $72.74
Realized PnL: $5.09
Win rate: 93.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$6.25

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $4.17
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.66K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$5.83

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $993.5
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $14.41
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $573.82
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $4.41

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $566.04
Potential profit: $566.04
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $6.58
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $519.74
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$3.42

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $8.04
Potential payout: $434.78
Potential profit: $426.74
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$1.96

No position

Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $10.63
Potential payout: $10.99
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.54
Potential payout: $10.54
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" this week?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $1.47
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $1.47
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.32
Potential payout: $1.32
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.27
Potential payout: $1.27
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23
Potential profit: $1.23
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 70°F or higher on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.02
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 65% 1.54 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 81% 1.23 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 82% 1.22 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 90% 1.11 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 62% 1.61 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 61% 1.64 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 68% 1.47 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 68% 1.47 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 89% 1.12 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 65% 1.54 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 64% 1.56 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 61% 1.64 shares