Polymarket Trader

Dragondoublehead

0x0c20a5f9cb907b00c7b37d52f9706e3830d36291

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.15K
Realized PnL: $1.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $624.12
Potential payout: $795.06
Potential profit: $170.94
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $124.12

No position

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $239.01
Potential payout: $637.37
Potential profit: $398.36
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$10.99

No position

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $290.13
Potential payout: $592.1
Potential profit: $301.97
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $28.82

No position

Will Russia capture Uspenivka by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $102
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.82
Potential profit: $83.82
User PnL: -$61.19

No position

Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 7?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.59
Potential profit: $30.59
User PnL: -$26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.63
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $9.62
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.46
Potential profit: $7.46
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $389.51

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.34

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.12

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.41

No position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.11

No position

Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $59.62

No position

Will Russia capture Siversk by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.75

No position

Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.35

No position

Will Russia capture Uspenivka by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.32

No position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.18

Yes position

Will Russia capture Uspenivka by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.56

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.45

No position

Will Russia enter Siversk by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.65

No position

Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.48

Yes position

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.01

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

No 44.1% 592.1 shares
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

No 39.2% 637.37 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 73% 83.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Up 6% 14.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Up 34% 14.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Down 64% 1.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Down 51% 8.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Down 50% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Up 32% 15.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Up 10% 83.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Up 6% 83.33 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 97.8% 511.45 shares