Polymarket Trader

-Math

0x0c27b2132d1efc4737475bf08435bb83845a791a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $123.01
Realized PnL: $39.03
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 28.2%
Current value: $7.13
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $18.12
Multiplier: 3.54x
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $15.01
Potential payout: $22.75
Potential profit: $7.73
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $4.78

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $17.6
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $4.4
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $4.4

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $7.5
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $18.08
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $8.08

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.7
Potential profit: $13.7
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $5.95
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $7.57
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 89.9%
Current value: $10.27
Potential payout: $11.43
Potential profit: $1.16
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $4.14
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Counter attack" during Netherlands vs Morocco?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $6.81
Potential payout: $6.94
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.81

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $6.94
Potential profit: $1.98
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $6.58
Potential profit: $1.68
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $6.49
Potential profit: $1.53
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $6.41
Potential profit: $1.51
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $0.91
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Kendall Jenner be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.76

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.97

Yes position

Will "Man on Fire" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Will "The Boroughs" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

No position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.21

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

No position

Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

Yes position

Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during Bret Baier interview?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will Nicole Kidman be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will JD Vance say "Iowa" in Des Moines?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

French election called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will JD Vance say "Worker" in Des Moines?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the announcers say "Compact" during Netherlands vs Morocco?

Yes 51% 7.86 shares
Will the announcers say "Counter attack" during Netherlands vs Morocco?

Yes 72% 6.94 shares
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 37% 13.51 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 85% 5.88 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 55% 9.09 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 76% 6.58 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 72% 6.94 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 77% 6.49 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 78% 6.41 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 73% 6.85 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 73% 6.85 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 31% 16.13 shares