Polymarket Trader

rauschcopy

0x0c2c9a1870df4a65378cb5976d338eb3bac3a31f

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $443.36
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $8.64
Potential payout: $2.47K
Potential profit: $2.46K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$57.36

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $278.88
Potential payout: $2.43K
Potential profit: $2.15K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $30.24

Yes position

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $1.63K
User PnL: -$19.21

Yes position

Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.71
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$3.29

Yes position

Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $792.65
Potential profit: $792.65
User PnL: -$6.39

Yes position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $51.19
Potential payout: $787.52
Potential profit: $736.33
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$7.81

Yes position

Netanyahu out by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $13.58
Potential payout: $554.15
Potential profit: $540.57
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $282.55
Potential profit: $282.55
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $14.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $235.63
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $4.38

Yes position

Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$15.6

Yes position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$15.5

Yes position

Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190.5
Potential profit: $190.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $27.23
Potential payout: $165
Potential profit: $137.78
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $7.82
Potential payout: $146.23
Potential profit: $138.41
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$12.18

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $5.01
Potential payout: $123.71
Potential profit: $118.7
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$6.99

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.27
Potential profit: $117.27
User PnL: -$4.81

Yes position

New pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $10.96
Potential payout: $115.38
Potential profit: $104.42
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$4.04

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.2%
Current value: $10.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $89.85
Multiplier: 9.85x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $12.82
Potential payout: $84.03
Potential profit: $71.22
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: $2.82

Yes position

Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9% 333.33 shares
Netanyahu out by July 31?

Yes 2.7% 554.15 shares
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 250 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.9% 84.03 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9% 111.11 shares
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Yes 7% 357.14 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9% 277.78 shares
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Yes 19.3% 51.75 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 11% 36.36 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 89% 170 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9% 277.78 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9% 222.22 shares