Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $3.93K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $75.42
Polymarket Trader
SakuraDevil
0x0c3c6cedfc55e5977fd9ad1221b75d25c62a5eea
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.1K
- Realized PnL
- $22.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $2.73K
- Potential payout
- $3.42K
- Potential profit
- $683.48
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $20.9
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $416.82
- Potential profit
- $416.82
- User PnL
- -$366.8
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $341.97
- Potential payout
- $345.77
- Potential profit
- $3.8
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $12.25
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $94
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $6
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $953.67
Yes position
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $874.32
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $823.59
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $721.17
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $707.84
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $683.4
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $660.63
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $617.27
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $604.97
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $566.7
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $549.31
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $547.51
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $523.28
Yes position
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $521.22
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $497.34
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450.83
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450.62
No position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $432.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?No 98.2% 250.09 shares
- Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?No 98.1% 150 shares
- Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?No 98.3% 339.69 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?No 97.5% 1,324.45 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 83% 1,236.93 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 80% 980.48 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 26, 2026?No 92% 745.81 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 80.1% 492.44 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?No 99.8% 661.44 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?Yes 0.1% 34.06 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 97.7% 788.8 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 97.7% 813.67 shares