Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $167.1
- Potential payout
- $8.15K
- Potential profit
- $7.98K
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $44.11
Polymarket Trader
Zdecat
0x0c61e8731246470ce2e9b64c381a53223754e005
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $444.46
- Realized PnL
- $2.76K
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.46K
- Potential profit
- $5.46K
- User PnL
- -$298.21
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $99.01
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$675.98
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- User PnL
- -$93.23
Yes position
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$143.92
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $147.44
- Potential payout
- $685.78
- Potential profit
- $538.34
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$105.56
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $530.87
- Potential profit
- $530.87
- User PnL
- -$13.95
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $436.08
- Potential profit
- $436.08
- User PnL
- -$13.95
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $431.58
- Potential profit
- $431.58
- User PnL
- -$328
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.4%
- Current value
- $30.86
- Potential payout
- $298.18
- Potential profit
- $267.32
- Multiplier
- 9.66x
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $155.39
- Potential profit
- $155.39
- User PnL
- -$9.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.61
- Potential profit
- $55.61
- User PnL
- -$14.86
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $6.33
- Potential profit
- $6.29
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$4.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $728.38
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $716.74
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $349.2
N
No position
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $241.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $117.33
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.17
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70.67
No position
Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.09
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.87
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?No 93.7% 364.09 shares
- Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during June Press Conference?Yes 79% 6.33 shares
- Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?No 27.5% 364.09 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 76% 431.58 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?Yes 72% 416.67 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes 68% 441.18 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 81% 617.28 shares
- France vs. Senegal: Neither team to score first?Yes 20% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 97.1% 742.42 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes 35.2% 2,200.31 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes 12.5% 1,336 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes 22.5% 1,336 shares