No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Polymarket Trader
peacelionel8514
0x0c6657191716ab925f72a0351c21ba70137bfc43
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $3.81
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Solana above $145 on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Bayern Munich position
Will Bayern Munich or Bayer Leverkusen advance in the UCL Round of 16?
Ends Mar 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Elon tweet 700 or more times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 51°F or below on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Solana above $145 on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Bayern Munich position
Will Bayern Munich or Bayer Leverkusen advance in the UCL Round of 16?
Ends Mar 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Elon tweet 700 or more times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 51°F or below on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Ethereum above $2,200 on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 80.7% 3 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 6% 30 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 21% 40 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 25% 34 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 94.2% 38 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 35% 1 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No 41% 5 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.7% 38 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.8% 71 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No 44% 76 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes 60% 37 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Yes 2.7% 15.5 shares