Polymarket Trader

fa8b

0x0c908d1dd004414407dcdd571ea1f14405559bbf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $556.84
Realized PnL: $317.72
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$15

Top Esports position

LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $489.09
Potential profit: $489.09
User PnL: -$42.2

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $101.71
Potential payout: $310.56
Potential profit: $208.85
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $51.71

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $193.54
Potential payout: $221.18
Potential profit: $27.65
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$6.46

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188.89
Potential profit: $188.89
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.36
Potential profit: $178.36
User PnL: -$113.85

No position

Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 59.7%
Current value: $90.5
Potential payout: $151.72
Potential profit: $61.22
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $24.66

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $6.07
Potential payout: $130.43
Potential profit: $124.37
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: -$23.93

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $33.26
Potential payout: $130.43
Potential profit: $97.17
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $3.26

No position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $93.19
Potential payout: $123.42
Potential profit: $30.24
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $51.62

Yes position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.3%
Current value: $19.46
Potential payout: $119.76
Potential profit: $100.3
Multiplier: 6.15x
User PnL: -$0.54

Lakers position

Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.33
Potential profit: $98.33
User PnL: -$35

Raptors position

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.93
Potential profit: $72.93
User PnL: -$24.5

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.95
Potential profit: $52.95
User PnL: -$20

Pacers position

Spread: Lakers (-10.5)

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.6
Potential profit: $48.6
User PnL: -$25

Mavericks position

Spread: Celtics (-15.5)

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.66
Potential profit: $47.66
User PnL: -$25

Suns position

Spread: Suns (-6.5)

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.9
Potential profit: $44.9
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $39.47
Potential profit: $35.72
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$11.25

No position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $32.79
Potential profit: $22.79
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $5.37
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $24.04
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: -$4.63

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $27.27
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.67
Potential profit: $26.67
User PnL: -$12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

KT Rolster position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105

Yes position

Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.04

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

Pacers position

Spread: Heat (-7.5)

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Celtics

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.02

No position

Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.74

Clippers position

Spread: Pistons (-7.5)

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.45

Bulls position

Mavericks vs. Bulls

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.37

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.1

Arkansas Razorbacks position

Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-15.5)

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Invictus Gaming position

LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12

Top Esports position

LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

1.8% 410.8 shares
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

No 69% 10.21 shares
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Yes 63.8% 178.36 shares
Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30?

No 48% 125.28 shares
Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30?

No 16% 20 shares
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

No 33.7% 133.63 shares
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes 90.4% 221.18 shares
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 23% 130.43 shares
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 23% 130.43 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 310.56 shares
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

Raptors 33.6% 71.45 shares
Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes 37.8% 52.95 shares