Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $4.7
- Potential payout
- $495.18
- Potential profit
- $490.47
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$22.1
Polymarket Trader
0x0c93...aafa
0x0c935d81782c0fa0192dd5d37df0f6c9f1d7aafa
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $417.11
- Realized PnL
- $61.35
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $142.79
- Potential payout
- $146
- Potential profit
- $3.21
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $14.6
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $100.25
- Potential payout
- $102.04
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.3%
- Current value
- $53.49
- Potential payout
- $95.09
- Potential profit
- $41.6
- Multiplier
- 1.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $33.68
- Potential payout
- $75.68
- Potential profit
- $42
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $4.16
No position
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $44.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $5.75
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $32.52
- Potential payout
- $41.96
- Potential profit
- $9.44
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$2.35
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $1.76
- Potential payout
- $9.28
- Potential profit
- $7.52
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.13
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $3.66
- Potential payout
- $4.52
- Potential profit
- $0.86
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.14
Yes position
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.87
No position
Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.67
Argentina position
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.66
No position
Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.31
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $3.86
No position
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Over position
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "China" during Speech to the Nation?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will Clavicular visit North Korea in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.15
N
No position
Will Trump say "China" during Speech to the Nation?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?No 39% 75.68 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?Yes 97% 102.04 shares
- Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 57.3% 85.09 shares
- Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 50.1% 10 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?No 53.7% 17.01 shares
- Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 1.8% 58.33 shares
- Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes 96.6% 11.01 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?No 90% 7.97 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?No 87% 10.63 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?No 87% 6.25 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?No 87% 5.56 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?No 55% 24.95 shares