Polymarket Trader

dontshowmyname

@traderman222

0x0c97325a81ad05c6b58ae30d12eaaec1b8451b68

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40K
Realized PnL: $48.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.85K
Potential profit: $98.85K
User PnL: -$98.85

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.73K
Potential profit: $45.73K
User PnL: -$45.73

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $7.3K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $32.7K
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: -$12.7K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 81.8%
Current value: $32.7K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $7.3K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $12.7K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.21K
Potential profit: $22.21K
User PnL: -$114.75

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.02K
Potential profit: $21.02K
User PnL: -$20.07

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.19K
Potential profit: $15.19K
User PnL: -$15.19

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: November

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.78K
Potential profit: $13.78K
User PnL: -$2.6K

Yes position

Will another company be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.59K
Potential profit: $13.59K
User PnL: -$332.69

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13K
Potential profit: $13K
User PnL: -$800.49

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 21 or later?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.53K
Potential profit: $12.53K
User PnL: -$17.73

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $12K
User PnL: -$43.1

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 15?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 19?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.89K
Potential profit: $9.89K
User PnL: -$10.34

Yes position

Will Flashbots be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.52K
Potential profit: $8.52K
User PnL: -$25.54

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 20?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.79K
Potential profit: $7.79K
User PnL: -$8.01

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 18?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.05K
Potential profit: $7.05K
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 17?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.7K
Potential profit: $6.7K
User PnL: -$9.37

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 16?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.59K
Potential profit: $6.59K
User PnL: -$9.4

Yes position

Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for less than 2 seconds?

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.57K
Potential profit: $6.57K
User PnL: -$210.67

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: September

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.8K
Potential profit: $5.8K
User PnL: -$505.28

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.04K
Potential profit: $5.04K
User PnL: -$1.8K

Yes position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla between September 28-30 ET?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.03K
Potential profit: $5.03K
User PnL: -$831.64

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.97K

Yes position

Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84K

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.32K

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68K

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: July

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65K

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.49K

No position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04K

Yes position

Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02K

Yes position

Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday?

Ends Jun 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88K

Yes position

Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88K

No position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75K

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: January

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71K

Yes position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Yes position

Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.54K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48K

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43K

Yes position

Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.37K

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31K

Yes position

OpenAI browser by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

No position

Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

No position

Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.22K

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

Yes position

US military action on Yemen before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude go down 0-2 times in April?

Yes 0.1% 1,127 shares
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in April?

Yes 13% 195.84 shares
Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?

No 56.1% 727.33 shares
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in April?

Yes 9% 64.55 shares
Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?

No 50% 536.5 shares
Will Claude go down 0-2 times in April?

Yes 0.1% 59.74 shares
Will Claude go down 3-5 times in April?

Yes 5.2% 39.99 shares
Will Claude go down 3-5 times in April?

Yes 4.9% 1,758.82 shares
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in April?

Yes 12% 45 shares
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in April?

Yes 12% 20 shares
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in April?

Yes 12% 20 shares
Will Claude go down 0-2 times in April?

Yes 0.1% 510 shares