Polymarket Trader

Nofix

0x0ca6bd383fdba3de7096d802fed1a323be104bea

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $98.96
Realized PnL: $366.03
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $14.38
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $110.63
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $84.58
Potential payout: $90.56
Potential profit: $5.98
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $64.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.12
Potential profit: $77.12
User PnL: -$32.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.04
Potential profit: $69.04
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.64
Potential profit: $63.64
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.72
Potential profit: $61.72
User PnL: -$4.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.05
Potential profit: $51.05
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.36
Potential profit: $36.36
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.57
Potential profit: $34.57
User PnL: -$19.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.25
Potential profit: $34.25
User PnL: -$10

Under position

SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.57
Potential profit: $33.57
User PnL: -$10

Under position

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.2
Potential profit: $32.2
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.82
Potential profit: $8.82
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.23

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 3?

Yes 22.5% 44.42 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 3?

Yes 21.7% 46.14 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 2?

Yes 95.8% 52.17 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on July 1?

Yes 82.7% 30.22 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 30?

Yes 0.2% 50.82 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 30?

Yes 78% 12.82 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 30?

Yes 78.6% 38 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C or below on June 29?

Yes 90.2% 33.26 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 12% 125 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 28?

Yes 83.8% 35.81 shares
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Yes 83% 12.05 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Yes 3% 83.33 shares