Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Polymarket Trader
Rio197
0x0caca17acacdce280d4e34382217bc0300b59906
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.96
- Realized PnL
- $27.87
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.6%
- Current value
- $0.46
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $3.54
- Multiplier
- 8.62x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $11.55
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.24
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.72
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
TikTok sale announced by September 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Skye Valadez confirmed perp?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-22?
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-22?
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 47% 78 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 47% 98 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes 10.8% 76 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes 10.8% 80 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 96.8% 62 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 96.9% 62 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 15% 43 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 15% 73 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 86% 70 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 86% 70 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes 3.5% 2 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 69% 2 shares