ahhuat8

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $179.85
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.22K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$280.68

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $33
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $289.01
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$72.34

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $478.7
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $869.76
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$103.46

Yes position

New pandemic in 2026?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $102
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$49.32

Yes position

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $108.47
Potential payout: $699.81
Potential profit: $591.34
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$36.65

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $54.23
Potential payout: $699.77
Potential profit: $645.54
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: -$15.35

Yes position

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $81.29
Potential payout: $650.33
Potential profit: $569.04
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$73.8

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $68.25
Potential payout: $650
Potential profit: $581.75
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$32.25

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $101.99
Potential payout: $599.96
Potential profit: $497.97
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$234.7

Yes position

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $42.5
Potential payout: $500.02
Potential profit: $457.52
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$32.5

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $82.5
Potential payout: $500.01
Potential profit: $417.51
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$39.57

Yes position

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $82.48
Potential payout: $499.85
Potential profit: $417.38
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$65.9

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $62.47
Potential payout: $499.78
Potential profit: $437.3
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$107.31

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $21.4
Potential payout: $415.59
Potential profit: $394.19
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$28.88

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $16.1
Potential payout: $290
Potential profit: $273.91
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $11
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $189
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $7.1
Potential payout: $136.5
Potential profit: $129.4
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $36.51
Potential payout: $100.04
Potential profit: $63.52
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $8.4

Yes position

Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $17.8
Potential payout: $72.66
Potential profit: $54.86
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $1.09

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$28.6

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $9.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $30.4
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $23.85
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $6.15
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $608.36

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.62

Yes position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $186

No position

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.56

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.53

No position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.6

Michael position

The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.2

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.19

Yes position

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.91

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.17

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.26

No position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.6

Yes position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.2

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.8

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.55

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.2

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $27.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.99

Yes position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.24

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.91

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET