No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $2.42
- Potential payout
- $172.74
- Potential profit
- $170.33
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$2.58
Polymarket Trader
0x0cad...dfd8
0x0cadd132a760d945f5b1319645f90f661678dfd8
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $18.79
- Realized PnL
- -$21.96
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.4%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $27.17
- Potential profit
- $22.19
- Multiplier
- 5.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $26.49
- Potential profit
- $25.89
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $4.25
- Potential payout
- $12.33
- Potential profit
- $8.08
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.54
- Potential payout
- $6.54
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.54
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Frances Tiafoe position
Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukuro
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Emilien Demanet position
Royan: Emilien Demanet vs Carlos Sanchez Jover
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?No 3.8% 26.49 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?No 2.9% 172.74 shares
- Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes 40.6% 12.33 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.4% 27.17 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes 76.5% 6.54 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 79% 6.33 shares
- Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Yes 65% 7.69 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 68% 7.35 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Yes 89% 5.62 shares
- Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Yes 22% 22.73 shares
- Royan: Emilien Demanet vs Carlos Sanchez JoverEmilien Demanet 35% 14.29 shares
- Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho ShimabukuroFrances Tiafoe 84% 5.95 shares