No position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $29.47K
- Potential payout
- $71K
- Potential profit
- $41.54K
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$6.04K
Polymarket Trader
ninjaslashed
0x0cb10c40b0776e9ee8cef970af85724654dda76c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $74.74K
- Realized PnL
- $27.7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $41.54K
- Potential payout
- $71K
- Potential profit
- $29.47K
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $6.04K
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $551.33
- Potential payout
- $8.29K
- Potential profit
- $7.74K
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$41.92
Yes position
Will Elden Ring: Nightreign win Best Game You Suck At in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.86K
- Potential profit
- $5.86K
- User PnL
- -$18.49
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $112.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.89K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $12.5
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $66
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.93K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $530
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.47K
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- -$86
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $1.98K
- Potential payout
- $3.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.86K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $811.5
Yes position
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $3.61K
- Potential profit
- $3.61K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.39K
- Potential profit
- $3.39K
- User PnL
- -$66.97
Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $28.84
- Potential payout
- $3.04K
- Potential profit
- $3.01K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$11.17
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $49.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.95K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $67.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.93K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $16.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.98K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Will "Canada" or "Canadian" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $89
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.91K
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$160.27
Yes position
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $3.84
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$26.39
Yes position
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$27.92
Yes position
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$27.92
Yes position
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$27.92
Yes position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.4%
- Current value
- $235.78
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- Multiplier
- 6.51x
- User PnL
- $205.55
Yes position
Will 'ELDEN RING NIGHTREIGN' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$11.87
Yes position
Will 'The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion Remastered' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$11.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.13K
No position
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89K
No position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Outstanding Story-Rich Game in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
No position
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ethiopia" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Is there more than 147341858 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $900
No position
Will Trump say "Olympic" during Panthers visit?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $894.7
No position
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $881.11
No position
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $880
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $850.67
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $813.62
Yes position
Will Trump say "Shit" this week?
Ends Jul 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $781.32
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $771.02
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $726.86
No position
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $712.81
Yes position
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?
Ends Oct 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $692.12
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $678.1
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $666.98
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arch" during Taoiseach events?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $624.1
Yes position
Will the next Pope be from North America?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $612.68
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $606.62
Yes position
Will Trump say "Life" 13+ times during Coast Guard event?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $595.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Curacao reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.7% 57 shares
- Will Alexander Sørloth score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 67.9% 175 shares
- Will Alexander Sørloth score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 72% 300 shares
- Will Endrick score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 53.4% 200 shares
- Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?Yes 67.3% 406 shares
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 4,999.95 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Yes 15% 50 shares
- Will Iran be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes 17.5% 100 shares
- Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 34% 60 shares
- Will the announcers say "Love" or "Lovely" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 77.6% 125 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes 16% 100 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 30% 210 shares