No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $2.11K
- Potential payout
- $15.64K
- Potential profit
- $13.53K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$714.22
Polymarket Trader
0x0cb25edac705df4c6B4d23FB6Fc4E18E78301872-1774209617236
0x0cb25edac705df4c6b4d23fb6fc4e18e78301872
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.11K
- Realized PnL
- $1.64K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $120.56
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $91.7
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $69.17
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58.82
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.83
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $19.82
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.76
No position
Chirayu Rana sued?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.54
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- $10.22
$60k position
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.04
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$41.81
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$85.94
No position
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$98.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 15% 133.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 15% 4,333.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 13.4% 74.53 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 15% 667.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 14.4% 173.41 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 14.4% 139.32 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 13.5% 74.08 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 21.1% 4,084.34 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 22% 195.45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 19% 4,216.66 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 77% 998.92 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 14.4% 694.1 shares