Polymarket Trader

gamingboy4

0x0cc281d1fdaefc07f6c9e096a3e19ce83a0d8fea

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.96K
Realized PnL: $1.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $295.67
Potential payout: $2.19K
Potential profit: $1.89K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$18.49

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $374.36
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.55K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$6.86

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $204.92
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $109.91

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $316.01
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $878.74
Multiplier: 3.78x
User PnL: $161.53

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $664.15
Potential payout: $786.44
Potential profit: $122.29
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $326.52

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $178.67
Potential payout: $430.52
Potential profit: $251.85
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $52.87

No position

Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $298.33
Potential profit: $298.33
User PnL: -$80.55

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $229.41
Potential payout: $296.01
Potential profit: $66.6
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $105.61

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $276.87
Potential profit: $276.87
User PnL: -$82.56

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220.32
Potential profit: $220.32
User PnL: -$36.7

No position

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $134.52
Potential payout: $196.52
Potential profit: $62
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $34.48

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $52.25
Potential payout: $189.99
Potential profit: $137.74
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$8.6

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $23.92
Potential payout: $170.82
Potential profit: $146.91
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$1.58

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $85.83
Potential payout: $154.65
Potential profit: $68.82
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $2.41

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $111.38
Potential payout: $133.39
Potential profit: $22.01
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $44.66

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $99.77
Potential payout: $111.48
Potential profit: $11.7
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $29.09

No position

Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $72.6
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $37.4
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $41.8

No position

Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81
Potential profit: $81
User PnL: -$63.99

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $15.94
Potential payout: $77.76
Potential profit: $61.82
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$19.39

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $15.75
Potential payout: $73.24
Potential profit: $57.49
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$25.21

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $51.47
Potential payout: $56.25
Potential profit: $4.78
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $14.69

No position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.49
Potential profit: $52.49
User PnL: -$33.66

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $11.84
Potential payout: $47.35
Potential profit: $35.51
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$19.14

No position

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $23.46
Potential payout: $43.44
Potential profit: $19.98
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$3.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.66

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.71

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.28

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.48

No position

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.49

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $55.5

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.04

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.55

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.39

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.4

No position

EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.56

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.96

No position

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.81

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.7

No position

EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.2

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $26.95

No position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.4

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.36

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.2

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.05

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $22.3

Yes position

Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.9

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 18% 13.89 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 12% 33.33 shares
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 67% 10 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 18% 22.22 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 18% 55.56 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 12% 83.33 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 42% 23.81 shares
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 65% 56.25 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 17% 41.18 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 73% 10.02 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 16% 6.25 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 16% 6.25 shares