Yes position
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $603.84
- Potential payout
- $741
- Potential profit
- $137.16
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $31.79
Polymarket Trader
MichelleEllis3790
0x0ccbf59e696d25dee13ff3bea1adc67040d66c69
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $933.16
- Realized PnL
- $5.88K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $191.98
- Potential payout
- $662
- Potential profit
- $470.02
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- -$52.96
Yes position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $4.85
- Potential payout
- $294
- Potential profit
- $289.15
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$89.23
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $95.7
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $4.3
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $22.7
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $31.47
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $15.79
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $5.32
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $22.68
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$7.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $879.6
Yes position
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $640.78
Yes position
Will Once Upon a Farm's market cap be between $800M and $850M at market close on IPO day?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $532.86
Yes position
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $398.04
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- $390.57
Yes position
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.35 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.8
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Ally" or "Allied" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262.2
Yes position
Will "California" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $237.9
Yes position
Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $195.61
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Denmark" or "Greenland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.6
No position
NCAA Tournament: Double-digit seed to make Quarterfinals?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.52
Central Arkansas Bears position
North Alabama Lions vs. Central Arkansas Bears (W)
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.1
Over position
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.5
Yes position
Will "Israel" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $148.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.5
No position
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $127.92
Yes position
Will the US strike ≤3 countries in January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.53
No position
Will Artemis II launch by February 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.55
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on February 20, 2026?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.28
Yes position
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.68
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.4
Yes position
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.64
No position
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $98.64
Yes position
Will "MAGA" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?No 67% 984 shares
- Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?No 54% 984 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 81% 25 shares
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 27% 68 shares
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 27% 488 shares
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 27% 499 shares
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 27% 178 shares
- AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?No 76% 53 shares
- AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?No 75.3% 53 shares
- Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?No 76% 606 shares
- Will Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No 78% 272 shares
- Will Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No 78% 772 shares