Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $54
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $346
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Polymarket Trader
Btwang666
0x0cd01465a3a6579f1e5052a9c0bdfde557ff0e01
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $314.63
- Realized PnL
- $1.98K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $18.6
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $381.4
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- -$53.2
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Current value
- $20.55
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $279.45
- Multiplier
- 14.60x
- User PnL
- -$26.15
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $4.65
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $295.35
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$11.35
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Current value
- $45.75
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $204.25
- Multiplier
- 5.46x
- User PnL
- -$33.25
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $23
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $177
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$53
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $6.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $193.9
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$25.9
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $174.99
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $2.56
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $157.44
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$8.54
Yes position
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $147.75
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$15.25
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $5.53
- Potential payout
- $127.38
- Potential profit
- $121.85
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$17.52
Yes position
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $14.27
- Potential payout
- $105.68
- Potential profit
- $91.41
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$11.41
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $10.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $89.45
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.8%
- Current value
- $15.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $84.25
- Multiplier
- 6.35x
- User PnL
- $6.95
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $5.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $94.85
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$3.45
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Current value
- $7.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $92.15
- Multiplier
- 12.74x
- User PnL
- -$2.95
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $5.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $94.55
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $2.8
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $97.19
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$8.2
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $18
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $81.99
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $98.49
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $97.66
- Potential profit
- $96.53
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$3.76
No position
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $12.71
- Potential payout
- $62
- Potential profit
- $49.29
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$7.87
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $11.1
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $48.9
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$8.7
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.6
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$15.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $197.92
No position
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $181.2
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $145.4
Yes position
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106
No position
James Comey arrested by October 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.99
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.99
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71
No position
U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.98
Yes position
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.69
T1 position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.4
No position
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.36
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60.5
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59
No position
Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.09
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
MOUZ position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3)
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.5
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.04
No position
French election called by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.99
No position
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.99
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.54
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $43.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 4.9% 200 shares
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 3.5Over 24% 20 shares
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 1.5Under 17% 20 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?No 26% 20 shares
- Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?Yes 12% 20 shares
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5Over 4% 18.5 shares
- Will FURIA make a roster change before July?Yes 10% 75 shares
- Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes 22% 20 shares
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5Over 23% 18.5 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?No 15% 20 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-23?No 18% 20 shares
- Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Yes 39% 10 shares