Polymarket Trader

0x0cDefe36284e66Be8c10cD5F00B6479dDD88D91b-1767931511481

0x0cdefe36284e66be8c10cd5f00b6479ddd88d91b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $94.27
Realized PnL: $397.36
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $94.27
Potential payout: $418.99
Potential profit: $324.72
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$194.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$63.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$38.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -4°C on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44
Potential profit: $44
User PnL: -$11.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$15.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on February 5?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39
Potential profit: $39
User PnL: -$14.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $36
User PnL: -$15.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$14.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$8.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -6°C on February 5?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $24
User PnL: -$5.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C on February 5?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $24
User PnL: -$7.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $22
User PnL: -$19.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$8.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.5
Potential profit: $14.5
User PnL: -$12.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -10°C on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$4.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -8°C on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -6°C on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$3.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -4°C on February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$4.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.4
Potential profit: $8.4
User PnL: -$3.02

No position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $380 on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $370 on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on March 23?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 24?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -5°C or higher on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -9°C on January 25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -3°C on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on January 11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -12°C or below on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -12°C on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -5°C on February 5?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.94

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -8°C on February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C on February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on February 16?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or higher on January 13?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -9°C on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on March 23?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -5°C on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.98

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -12°C or below on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -12°C on January 23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on March 26?

Yes 44% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 26?

Yes 54% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on March 25?

Yes 0.1% 100.18 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on March 25?

Yes 99.7% 71.96 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C or higher on March 25?

Yes 0.1% 90 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on March 25?

Yes 0.5% 53.13 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on March 25?

Yes 43.9% 53.13 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 25?

Yes 21.5% 80.26 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C or higher on March 25?

Yes 29.8% 90 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on March 25?

Yes 43.5% 44 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on March 25?

Yes 33.7% 21.15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on March 25?

Yes 32.2% 79.03 shares