Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $494.29
- Potential profit
- $494.29
- User PnL
- -$69
Polymarket Trader
KirillTA
0x0ceac75259a307110d4ff95fcca44ff70ffd5a4d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $290.3
- Realized PnL
- $85.92
- Win rate
- 81.3%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $153.85
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $82.31
- Potential payout
- $138.34
- Potential profit
- $56.03
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $14.73
Y
Yes position
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Ends Jul 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $68.29
- Potential payout
- $90.45
- Potential profit
- $22.16
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $22.16
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.49
- Potential profit
- $76.49
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $37.2
- Potential payout
- $46.21
- Potential profit
- $9.01
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $2.54
Y
Yes position
Will DC Studios announce a new project at SDCC 2026?
Ends Jul 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $23.89
- Potential payout
- $40.84
- Potential profit
- $16.95
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $5.51
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $32.53
- Potential payout
- $37.6
- Potential profit
- $5.08
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $36.67
- Potential profit
- $34.65
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$2.38
N
No position
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $21.87
- Potential payout
- $33.91
- Potential profit
- $12.04
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$1.87
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Current value
- $22.19
- Potential payout
- $24.98
- Potential profit
- $2.8
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $6.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.33
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.17
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.73
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.61
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.01
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.37
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
No position
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Multiplier
- 8.93x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Yes position
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?Yes 62% 24.98 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No 87% 17.69 shares
- Will DC Studios announce a new project at SDCC 2026?Yes 45% 40.84 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?No 12% 36.67 shares
- Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?No 39% 59.97 shares
- Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?No 70% 33.91 shares
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Yes 18% 131.94 shares
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Yes 19% 131.95 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 75% 46.21 shares
- Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?No 36.5% 59.97 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No 86.4% 55.29 shares
- Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes 51% 90.45 shares