No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $7.8
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $122.2
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Polymarket Trader
sadfg
0x0cf0e1b3ba41a9956457ae4e30ca22baae7cb2b1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.76
- Realized PnL
- $78.17
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $15.96
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $670 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $6.13
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0
Iva Jovic position
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi Osaka
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.96
- Potential profit
- $2.96
- User PnL
- -$1.42
San Francisco Giants position
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Team Liquid position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.82
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.1%
- Multiplier
- 4.33x
- User PnL
- $33.45
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $28.27
No position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $6.48
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Nongshim RedForce position
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $670 in July?No 97.8% 6.13 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 10?Up 99.9% 6.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETUp 66% 1.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 98.4% 16 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 2?Up 99.2% 1.16 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 3?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?No 99.9% 6 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 22.5% 140 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 22.6% 140 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?No 99.9% 2.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on June 28?No 99.9% 2.3 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99.9% 5 shares