Polymarket Trader

Fermatter

0x0d097318ea10c5f82d32eb1499b2a53c0487dd55

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.89K
Realized PnL: $17.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $37.95
Potential payout: $6.9K
Potential profit: $6.86K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$15.95

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $6.77K
Potential profit: $5.69K
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: $886.39

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $1.26K
Potential payout: $6.45K
Potential profit: $5.19K
Multiplier: 5.12x
User PnL: $1.18K

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $333
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.67K
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: $281.5

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $38.35
Potential payout: $5.9K
Potential profit: $5.86K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$7.74

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $127.69
Potential payout: $5.68K
Potential profit: $5.55K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $82.39

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $36.73
Potential payout: $5.65K
Potential profit: $5.61K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$7.41

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $36.63
Potential payout: $5.64K
Potential profit: $5.6K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$7.39

Yes position

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $36.05
Potential payout: $5.55K
Potential profit: $5.51K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$7.28

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $331.24
Potential payout: $5.48K
Potential profit: $5.14K
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $288.47

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $155.63
Potential payout: $5.46K
Potential profit: $5.3K
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $104.48

Yes position

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $40.79
Potential payout: $5.44K
Potential profit: $5.4K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $34.96
Potential payout: $5.38K
Potential profit: $5.34K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$7.06

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.6%
Current value: $824.15
Potential payout: $5.3K
Potential profit: $4.48K
Multiplier: 6.43x
User PnL: $764.21

Yes position

Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $38.99
Potential payout: $5.2K
Potential profit: $5.16K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.62

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $32.64
Potential payout: $5.02K
Potential profit: $4.99K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$6.18

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $56.93
Potential payout: $4.95K
Potential profit: $4.89K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $18.26

Yes position

Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $42.01
Potential payout: $4.94K
Potential profit: $4.9K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $3.4

Yes position

Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $46.15
Potential payout: $4.86K
Potential profit: $4.81K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $8.2

Yes position

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $54.81
Potential payout: $4.77K
Potential profit: $4.71K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $17.58

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $68.43
Potential payout: $4.72K
Potential profit: $4.65K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $27.82

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $39.9
Potential payout: $4.69K
Potential profit: $4.65K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $3.23

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $30.43
Potential payout: $4.68K
Potential profit: $4.65K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$6.14

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $99.43
Potential payout: $4.65K
Potential profit: $4.55K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $63.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09K

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7K

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68K

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $782.53

No position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $744.3

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $672.58

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $434.8

Yes position

Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $399.26

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $342.12

Yes position

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $320.99

Yes position

Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $293.59

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.26

No position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $247.5

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.66

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.55

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.5

No position

Israel military action against Iraq by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.4

Yes position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $185.18

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $166.43

Yes position

Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $153.52

Yes position

Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $142.57

No position

Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.4

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.6% 150 shares
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.6% 150 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Down 36.3% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Up 50% 49.96 shares
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.8% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Up 49% 69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Up 57% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Up 46% 60 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Down 45% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Up 62% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Up 82% 25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Down 94% 6 shares