Polymarket Trader

0x0d10ff6c461e75Da4792f4fD8FD1d414e6A66B3d-1733169443822

0x0d10ff6c461e75da4792f4fd8fd1d414e6a66b3d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $533.35
Realized PnL: $33.91
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Megaquake by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$23.8

Yes position

Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $4.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $495.25
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $499.98
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $66
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $234
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $29.2

Yes position

Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $297.9
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$34.7

Yes position

Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $296.85
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$33.65

Yes position

Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $2.4
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $297.6
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$34.4

Yes position

Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $11.7
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $288.3
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$25.1

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $41.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $158.9
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: -$14.1

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $19
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $181
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Megaquake by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $193
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$41

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.83
Potential profit: $146.83
User PnL: -$10.28

Yes position

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.92
Potential profit: $121.92
User PnL: -$57.3

Yes position

Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $100.19
Potential profit: $98.79
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$84

Yes position

Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $63.8

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$48

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.75
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$17.75

No position

Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in March 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $9

No position

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $74.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $25.5
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $11.5

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.7%
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: $3

No position

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 59.8%
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in March 2026?

No 91% 100 shares
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?

Yes 20% 15.8 shares
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

Yes 39% 12.07 shares
5kt meteor strike in 2026?

No 63% 30 shares
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

No 62% 100 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

No 7% 26.9 shares
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Yes 48% 300 shares
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?

Yes 1% 382.19 shares
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1% 2,000 shares