Yes position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.7K
- Potential payout
- $11.71K
- Potential profit
- $10.01K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.23K
Polymarket Trader
captainahab
0x0d195cff7f8f08606ec5e468e59126661cbe8f93
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.21K
- Realized PnL
- $367.11
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $227.37
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$199.45
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.46
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$181.11
Yes position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $82.2
- Potential payout
- $657.63
- Potential profit
- $575.43
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$70.47
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $46
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $354
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 33–36%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $325
- Potential profit
- $325
- User PnL
- -$36.28
Yes position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $28.35
- Potential payout
- $314.99
- Potential profit
- $286.64
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$42.7
No position
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $187
- Potential profit
- $187
- User PnL
- -$4.34
Yes position
Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 US Open?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.24
- Potential profit
- $148.24
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $17.08
- Potential payout
- $142.32
- Potential profit
- $125.24
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.59
Yes position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $104.16
- Potential payout
- $104.16
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $29.46
Yes position
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$2.9
No position
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$14.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.2
Yes position
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.08
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.5
No position
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 27–30%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.5
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.04
Yes position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.58
Yes position
Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.49
Sinner position
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.25
No position
Ethereum all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Djokovic position
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
Will no listed leader be out in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.13
Djokovic position
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Novak Djokovic vs Taylor Fritz
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.94
Yes position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.2
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.6
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 30–33%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.5
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21.91
No position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.05
Yes position
Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes 2.5% 100 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Yes 1% 837.02 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Yes 2.5% 2,964.97 shares
- Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes 3.1% 1,138.06 shares
- Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes 3% 119.99 shares
- Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes 9% 560.12 shares
- Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes 14% 898.59 shares
- Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes 9% 78 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Yes 8% 3,072 shares
- Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes 9% 30 shares
- Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?No 0.2% 3,731.05 shares
- Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?No 0.8% 237 shares