Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.66K
- Potential profit
- $14.66K
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
iamkingofbay
0x0d1bd8f88963a078e48f99e7eba08cb27c4f3be7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.85K
- Realized PnL
- $2.76K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $13.14K
- Potential payout
- $13.88K
- Potential profit
- $742.67
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Yes position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $20.83
- Potential payout
- $8.33K
- Potential profit
- $8.31K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.17
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $105.77
- Potential payout
- $3.85K
- Potential profit
- $3.74K
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $55.77
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $119.12
- Potential payout
- $2.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.82K
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- $19.12
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $2.19K
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $190.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $190.79
Yes position
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $53.87
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $43.33
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Current value
- $132.35
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 8.89x
- User PnL
- -$67.65
No position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $46.26
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $68.47
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.9%
- Current value
- $262.73
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $646.36
- Multiplier
- 3.46x
- User PnL
- $162.73
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $87.92
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $745.42
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- -$12.08
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $822.6
- Potential profit
- $822.6
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $96.49
- Potential payout
- $794.12
- Potential profit
- $697.63
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- -$53.51
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $86.24
- Potential payout
- $641.16
- Potential profit
- $554.93
- Multiplier
- 7.43x
- User PnL
- -$13.76
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $525.57
- Potential payout
- $568.18
- Potential profit
- $42.61
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $25.57
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $549.2
- Potential profit
- $549.2
- User PnL
- -$450
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $278.38
- Potential payout
- $540.54
- Potential profit
- $262.16
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $78.38
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $540.54
- Potential profit
- $540.54
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $514.89
- Potential payout
- $531.91
- Potential profit
- $17.02
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $14.89
Yes position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $459.21
- Potential profit
- $459.21
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $80.47
- Potential payout
- $393.7
- Potential profit
- $313.23
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- -$19.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $452.25
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.19
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.64
No position
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.49
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.74
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.79
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.35
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.61
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.8
Canadiens position
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.05
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.88
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.71
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.53
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.99
Yes position
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
No position
Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.8
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.29
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.56
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.75
No position
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.96
Yes position
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.92
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2% 4,000 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 3.8% 2,020.2 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 63% 158.73 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 27% 434.78 shares
- Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 15.6% 641.16 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes 72% 138.89 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?No 82% 121.95 shares
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes 40.8% 244.95 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.5% 4,000 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?No 77.8% 128.55 shares
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?Yes 29.4% 169.83 shares
- Canadiens vs. HurricanesCanadiens 35.2% 142.05 shares