No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $13.73K
- Potential payout
- $14.71K
- Potential profit
- $978.28
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $105.8
Polymarket Trader
Constantinus
0x0d31f1a81cab0b31710f1428347bb115c5e23dc7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.03K
- Realized PnL
- $1K
- Win rate
- 81%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $2.41K
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $144.42
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $148.44
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $537.83
- Potential payout
- $660
- Potential profit
- $122.17
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $36.23
No position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $343.86
- Potential payout
- $353.4
- Potential profit
- $9.54
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $410.27
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $385.78
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.28
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.86
Lakers position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.69
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.74
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.5
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.76
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.48
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
No position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on November 12?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.96
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.86
No position
TikTok sale announced by September 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by October 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will the Government shutdown end October 1-2?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$14.17
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$20.59
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$140.19
No position
TikTok sale announced before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$554.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 93.2% 3,356 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 76% 660 shares
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98% 133.4 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 92.2% 227.25 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 92.4% 580.15 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 92.8% 649.99 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 91.7% 45.71 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 91.7% 1,510.18 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 92.1% 267.52 shares
- NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. RocketsLakers 88.7% 227 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 99.8% 201 shares
- NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. RocketsLakers 88.7% 226 shares