Polymarket Trader

Bertastan

0x0d3f0bafe55a64ec11c269e91dda5c4ff327de34

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $355.81
Realized PnL: $48.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.99K
Potential profit: $1.99K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $149.41
Potential payout: $1.99K
Potential profit: $1.84K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$1.05K

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $1.81K
User PnL: -$300

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $61.4
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$342.01

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $145
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $855
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$155

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.08
Potential profit: $909.08
User PnL: -$350

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $869.57
Potential profit: $869.57
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $827.82
Potential profit: $827.82
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $681.39
Potential profit: $681.39
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $634.99
Potential profit: $634.99
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Iran leadership change by March 13?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.29
Potential profit: $214.29
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.81
Potential profit: $117.81
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.97
Potential profit: $68.97
User PnL: -$40

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.86K

No position

Liberals win majority in Canadian election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.54K

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $855.29

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $763.59

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $730.85

No position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $618.01

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $432.37

No position

Will Trump say "Epstein" by Monday?

Ends Jun 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $429.9

Down position

XRP Up or Down on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $414.29

Yes position

Solana above $180 on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $371.23

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $107K on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $364.78

No position

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $339.4

Up position

Solana Up or Down on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331.17

Up position

Solana Up or Down on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $305.2

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $302.1

Up position

XRP Up or Down on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.46

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.18

Up position

XRP Up or Down on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.74

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on June 11 at 5 PM ET?

Ends Jun 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.72

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 30% 1,000 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?

Yes 1% 656.22 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?

Yes 15.1% 330.57 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?

Yes 15.4% 325.65 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

No 90% 1,555.56 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Yes 2.1% 1,410.91 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Yes 8% 625 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?

No 96.6% 207.12 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Yes 12% 583.33 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?

No 96.4% 1,555.43 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 99.5% 289.81 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 69% 289.81 shares