mc-sunw1

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $5.12
Potential payout: $176.7
Potential profit: $171.58
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: -$6.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.74
Potential payout: $145.35
Potential profit: $143.61
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$4.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $79.65
Potential profit: $79.53
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $3.51
Potential payout: $72.3
Potential profit: $68.8
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: -$2.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $6.15
Potential payout: $58.53
Potential profit: $52.39
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 30?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $33.28
Potential profit: $31.78
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$4.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $5.59
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $21.68
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $23.04
Potential profit: $23.03
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $6.09
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $12.09
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $5.73
Potential payout: $17.11
Potential profit: $11.38
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $15.76
Potential profit: $15.67
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$5.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $11.91
Potential payout: $12.49
Potential profit: $0.57
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $5.11
Potential payout: $7.05
Potential profit: $1.94
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$0.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.04
Potential payout: $7.05
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $7.04
Potential payout: $7.05
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $7.03
Potential payout: $7.05
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.05
Potential profit: $7.04
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.04
Potential payout: $7.05
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $7.04
Potential payout: $7.05
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $7.05
Potential profit: $7.04
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$5.98

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $7.03
Potential payout: $7.05
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $7.02
Potential profit: $7.01
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$5.97

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $6.99
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 98.7%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $17.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.98

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or higher on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-05-23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on May 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 29?