Polymarket Trader

efficient-market-enforcer

0x0d60cd0973a33b123ba8bc300f5616a059212e47

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $377.53
Realized PnL: $856.35
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the May meeting?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225.74
Potential profit: $225.74
User PnL: -$70

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $186.91
Potential payout: $187
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $56.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $125.97
Potential payout: $126.03
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $16.84

Yes position

Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $53
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $47
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.02
Potential profit: $74.02
User PnL: -$56.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.1
Potential profit: $66.1
User PnL: -$31.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $11.65
Potential payout: $11.73
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $2.27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.05

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.32

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.34

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.15

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.89

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 19?

Yes 80% 11.73 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on June 19?

Yes 10.3% 82.98 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 19?

No 86% 38 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 19?

No 79% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on June 19?

Yes 34% 22.98 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 19?

No 82% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on June 19?

Yes 40.7% 30 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 19?

No 89% 18.04 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on June 19?

Yes 20.8% 30 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 19?

No 68.7% 167 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 18?

Yes 52% 18 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 18?

No 92% 59.41 shares