Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $2.24K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $1.76K
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$680.01
Polymarket Trader
0x0D6283aC745742D954c972400D417a3AC03727e
0x0d6283ac745742d954c972400d417a3ac03727e0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.75K
- Realized PnL
- $10.7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $129.09
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- $32.99
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.9K
- Potential payout
- $2.17K
- Potential profit
- $271.63
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $488.94
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $1.41K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $590.05
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $1.41K
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $86.8
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.91K
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- $86.8
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.81K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $190
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.81K
No position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $667.5
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $832.5
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $667.5
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $1.29K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $210
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $24.75
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $24.75
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.4%
- Current value
- $356.84
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- Multiplier
- 4.11x
- User PnL
- $356.84
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $7.2
- User PnL
- $1.19K
No position
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $63.8
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $63.8
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $60.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.83
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $3.83
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $428.4
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $579.6
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $428.4
Yes position
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $993.5
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $6.5
Yes position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $95
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $905
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $95
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $137.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $862.5
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- $137.5
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Current value
- $98.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $901.5
- Multiplier
- 10.15x
- User PnL
- $98.5
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $41
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $959
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- $41
No position
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $41.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $958.5
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $41.5
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $875
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $125
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $875
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $774.5
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $225.5
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $774.5
Yes position
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $999.48
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $914.99
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $630.71
No position
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $583.01
No position
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $539
No position
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $510.77
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $474
No position
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $440.14
No position
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $417.09
Yes position
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $410
No position
Will France strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $403.84
No position
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $370.01
Yes position
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.65
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $308.32
Devils position
Devils vs. Stars
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Panthers position
Bruins vs. Panthers
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $288
Flames position
Kings vs. Flames
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285
Oilers position
Oilers vs. Utah
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280
Oilers position
Oilers vs. Golden Knights
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280
Blues position
Blues vs. Ducks
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.8
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?No 79% 49.83 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.5% 200 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.5% 500 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No 99.8% 200 shares
- Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?No 71% 104.9 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 76% 999.98 shares
- Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?No 78% 160 shares
- Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 87% 10 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo 87% 81.11 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?No 88% 41.69 shares
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?No 99.4% 100 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No 88% 170.8 shares