Yes position
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.99
- Potential profit
- $12.99
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
aousou
0x0d6a3fac726ee0eef41005281e189ef5108df296
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.83
- Realized PnL
- $82.82
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.6%
- Current value
- $3.83
- Potential payout
- $9.43
- Potential profit
- $5.61
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Yes position
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.35
- Potential profit
- $7.35
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.37
- Potential profit
- $6.37
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Ferrari finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.33
- Potential profit
- $6.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.01
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
Yes position
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Ends Oct 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49
Yes position
Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Jul 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42
Yes position
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will LDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will Samia Suluhu Hassan win the 2025 Tanzania presidential election?
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No 99.8% 15 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes 98.8% 111.21 shares
- Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes 99.9% 97.1 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes 99.8% 97 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes 93% 8 shares
- Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?Yes 97.7% 11 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 76% 6.58 shares
- Will Ferrari finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?Yes 79% 6.33 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes 74% 6.76 shares
- Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Yes 88% 5.68 shares
- Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?Yes 73% 6.85 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes 97% 10.31 shares