Polymarket Trader

LordAndrew

0x0d704459466f6036d5892880f3d42646b5e1da70

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.69
Realized PnL: $1.63
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $7.42
Potential payout: $8.89
Potential profit: $1.47
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $7.42

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.98
Potential profit: $7.98
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $2.33
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $2.27
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $2.27
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $1.94
Potential payout: $2.11
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $1.69
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45
Potential profit: $1.45
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41
Potential profit: $1.41
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39
Potential profit: $1.39
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump say "Memorandum" this week?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35
Potential profit: $1.35
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.34
Potential profit: $1.34
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Meta (META) close above $610 on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33
Potential profit: $1.33
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.32
Potential profit: $1.32
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump say "Maduro" this week?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $1.2
User PnL: $0

No position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 45% 8.89 shares
Will "Rent" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

No 85% 1.18 shares
Will Meta (META) close above $610 on June 3?

No 75% 1.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Yes 74.5% 1.34 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

No 83.4% 1.2 shares
Will Trump say "Memorandum" this week?

No 74% 1.35 shares
Will Trump say "President Biden" this week?

No 70% 1.43 shares
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week?

No 83% 1.2 shares
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?

No 80% 1.25 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?

No 93% 1.08 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

No 82% 1.22 shares
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

Yes 87% 1.15 shares