Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $723.53
- Potential payout
- $866.51
- Potential profit
- $142.97
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $5.13
Polymarket Trader
gh6y0omxinx8
0x0d830616473e42dbd219cb9090d28781f6138eb4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.59K
- Realized PnL
- $5.93K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $17.98
- Potential payout
- $570.83
- Potential profit
- $552.85
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- $4.28
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $343.37
- Potential payout
- $346.14
- Potential profit
- $2.77
- User PnL
- $24.87
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $146.93
- Potential payout
- $269.6
- Potential profit
- $122.67
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$43.86
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $41.84
- Potential payout
- $76.77
- Potential profit
- $34.93
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $10.11
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $69.11
- Potential payout
- $70.19
- Potential profit
- $1.09
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $60.77
- Potential payout
- $62.98
- Potential profit
- $2.2
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.72
No position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $56.59
- Potential payout
- $60.85
- Potential profit
- $4.26
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.01
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.7%
- Current value
- $23.71
- Potential payout
- $58.2
- Potential profit
- $34.49
- Multiplier
- 2.45x
- User PnL
- -$9.19
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.7%
- Current value
- $47.89
- Potential payout
- $52.22
- Potential profit
- $4.33
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $11.35
Yes position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $13.39
- Potential payout
- $31.87
- Potential profit
- $18.49
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$11.47
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $16.71
- Potential payout
- $31.23
- Potential profit
- $14.52
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $4.97
No position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $7.29
- Potential payout
- $16.02
- Potential profit
- $8.73
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$5.59
No position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $7.28
- Potential payout
- $13.61
- Potential profit
- $6.33
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$2.11
No position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.7%
- Current value
- $8.71
- Potential payout
- $9.94
- Potential profit
- $1.23
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.19
- Potential profit
- $4.19
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Monmouth Hawks position
Towson Tigers vs. Monmouth Hawks
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $849.42
No position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $540.63
Xtreme Gaming position
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $487.78
Seton Hall Pirates position
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Butler Bulldogs
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $473.92
Dayton Flyers position
Davidson Wildcats vs. Dayton Flyers
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.9
Charleston Cougars position
Charleston Cougars vs. Campbell Fighting Camels
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.42
Yes position
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.46
BESTIA position
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs BESTIA (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group A
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.34
North Texas Mean Green position
North Texas Mean Green vs. Temple Owls
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.36
Detroit Titans position
Youngstown State Penguins vs. Detroit Titans
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.87
Bradley Braves position
Bradley Braves vs. Southern Illinois Salukis
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.16
No position
Will Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.57
Omaha Mavericks position
Denver Pioneers vs. Omaha Mavericks
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.98
Yes position
Will US Lecce win on 2026-02-16?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.32
PARIVISION position
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.37
PARIVISION position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.06
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.8
Over position
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.45
Denmark position
Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latvia
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.71
Tulane Green Wave position
Tulane Green Wave vs. UAB Blazers
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.16
East Texas A&M Lions position
Southeastern Louisiana Lions vs. East Texas A&M Lions
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.14
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons position
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.93
Robert Morris Colonials position
Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Robert Morris Colonials
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?Yes 58% 10.26 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?No 56% 10.7 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?Yes 52% 16.92 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?Yes 44% 21.18 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?No 28% 20.54 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?Yes 27% 28.41 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 93.2% 305.99 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 83.2% 325.31 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.3% 41.11 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.6% 627.59 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.4% 570.83 shares
- Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.5% 9.94 shares