No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $114.12
- Potential payout
- $114.12
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.62
Polymarket Trader
defrgw567tfs
0x0d835fb45a519086f3a227b84efd17bb239f47ac
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $114.12
- Realized PnL
- -$60.72
- Win rate
- 81.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Hornets position
Pelicans vs. Hornets
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.92
No position
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.41
No position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.74
No position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94
No position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.48
No position
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$21.06
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$88.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No 33% 268.43 shares
- Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on March 31?No 77.6% 69.41 shares
- Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No 84% 27.55 shares
- Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No 75% 27.55 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No 66% 268.43 shares
- Pelicans vs. HornetsHornets 99.9% 21 shares
- Pelicans vs. HornetsHornets 99.9% 29 shares
- Pelicans vs. HornetsHornets 99.9% 22.99 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyNo 21% 140.43 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyNo 36% 140.43 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?No 92% 131.44 shares
- Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?No 99.9% 136.32 shares