Polymarket Trader

subzero

0x0d8f6f196ad28c2a7c5d164cf54962059b34178b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $66.62
Realized PnL: $7.08
Win rate: 46.2%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $10.83
Potential payout: $4.33K
Potential profit: $4.32K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$7.42

Yes position

Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $15.25
Potential payout: $3.81K
Potential profit: $3.8K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$50.32

Yes position

Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $8.75
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.49K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $5.2
Potential payout: $3.47K
Potential profit: $3.46K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.7

Yes position

Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $6.92
Potential payout: $2.77K
Potential profit: $2.76K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$32.21

Yes position

Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $6.85
Potential payout: $2.74K
Potential profit: $2.73K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$17.25

Yes position

Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $6.44
Potential payout: $2.57K
Potential profit: $2.57K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$8.22

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.52K
Potential profit: $2.52K
User PnL: -$165.47

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.29K
Potential profit: $2.29K
User PnL: -$95

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.19K
Potential profit: $2.19K
User PnL: -$85.7

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $2.02K
User PnL: -$42.78

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $1.95K
User PnL: -$106.39

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.79K
Potential profit: $1.79K
User PnL: -$125.75

Yes position

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.43
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$27.21

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.81
Potential profit: $999.81
User PnL: -$32.35

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.94
Potential payout: $735.84
Potential profit: $732.9
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$26.92

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.84

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $142.39

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.74

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.01

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.62

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.44

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18.61

Yes position

Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$34.91

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$59.22

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$68.51

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$93.59

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$118.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 4.1% 735.84 shares
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 2.3% 973.05 shares
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 1.6% 1,667.93 shares
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 1% 1,939.93 shares
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 0.6% 1,574.77 shares
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 0.6% 1,024.47 shares
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 0.4% 2,000 shares
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 0.3% 2,000 shares
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 1.9% 1,809.82 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 8% 155 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.7% 500 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.6% 500 shares