Polymarket Trader

Graw

0x0d90a2c8b3c2f581bf5ca35158285baaf498e1f6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $207.16
Realized PnL: $265.35
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $102.43
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $975.8
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$7.56

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $256.41
Potential profit: $256.41
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $34.57
Potential payout: $130.43
Potential profit: $95.87
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $4.57

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $44.89
Potential payout: $70.69
Potential profit: $25.8
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $14.89

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $10.87
Potential payout: $54.06
Potential profit: $43.19
Multiplier: 4.98x
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.1
Potential profit: $43.1
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.36
Potential profit: $36.36
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $21.28
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will JD Vance say "EU" or "European Union" during meetings with Orbán?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $20.41
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Powell say "War" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.74
Potential profit: $16.74
User PnL: -$9.88

Up position

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $13.51
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $305 on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $13.16
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.48
Potential profit: $11.48
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.3
Potential payout: $10.31
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $4.11
Potential payout: $7.98
Potential profit: $3.87
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$3.47

Yes position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $3.23
User PnL: -$2.91

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.45

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.29

Yes position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.39

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.32

Yes position

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.3

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.47

Yes position

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.27

Yes position

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of February?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.77

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.07

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.17

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54

Yes position

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54

Yes position

Will Lyon finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.09

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.18

No position

Will Google (GOOGL) hit $355 before 2026??

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.09

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63

Yes position

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Yes position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.91

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 58% 43.1 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

30% 33.33 shares
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 55% 36.36 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 63% 7.94 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 62% 16.13 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 68% 14.71 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 97% 10.31 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 37% 27.03 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 99.9% 7.95 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?

Yes 93.4% 10.71 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

No 92.5% 10.82 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?

Yes 93.7% 2.13 shares