Polymarket Trader

BKno95

0x0d93b6645d7c7730dea3e8912d1ef1618ead8cbe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.78K
Realized PnL: $9.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $1.57K
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $50.13
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $210.41

Yes position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$252.46

Yes position

Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$790.97

Yes position

Will Johannes Kaiser come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$114.89

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $31.46
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $47.06

Yes position

Will Johannes Kaiser win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $998
Potential profit: $998
User PnL: -$8.63

Yes position

Will Motoristé get between 3% and 5% of the vote in the Czech election?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $781.01
Potential profit: $781.01
User PnL: -$120.05

Yes position

Will Motoristé get less than 3% of the vote in the Czech election?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $781
Potential profit: $781
User PnL: -$11.3

Yes position

Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $756
Potential profit: $756
User PnL: -$465.48

Yes position

Will Bill Reid win the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $641.52
Potential profit: $641.52
User PnL: -$21.8

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $559.51
Potential payout: $622.02
Potential profit: $62.51
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $50.77

Yes position

Will Catalin Drula finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $524
Potential profit: $524
User PnL: -$116.76

Yes position

Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $487
Potential profit: $487
User PnL: -$215.06

Yes position

Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 27?

Ends Jul 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $470.65
Potential payout: $470.89
Potential profit: $0.24
User PnL: $93.68

Yes position

Will ANO get less than 27% of the vote in the Czech election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $446
Potential profit: $446
User PnL: -$25.6

Yes position

Will ANO get between 27% and 30% of the vote in the Czech election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $446
Potential profit: $446
User PnL: -$124.16

Yes position

Will Julia Letlow win the Louisiana Senate Republican Primary Runoff by 10–15%?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $418.52
Potential payout: $445
Potential profit: $26.48
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$2.08

Yes position

Will Nepali Communist Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $365
Potential profit: $365
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Will Rastriya Prajatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $365
Potential profit: $365
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $360
User PnL: -$130.1

No position

Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $346.91
Potential payout: $353.99
Potential profit: $7.08
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $17.69

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $340.73
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $9.27
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.97

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $324
Potential profit: $324
User PnL: -$41.96

Yes position

Will DPP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $320
Potential profit: $320
User PnL: -$2.47

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $852.19

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $741.88

Yes position

Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $585.58

Yes position

Will Motoristé get between 5% and 7% of the vote in the Czech election?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $557.15

No position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $498.77

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $425.06

Yes position

Will Daniel Baluta finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $423.1

Yes position

Will turnout be between 78% and 81% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $382.79

Yes position

Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $352.89

Yes position

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $306.12

Yes position

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286.47

No position

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.74

Yes position

Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.38

No position

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.49

No position

Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.16

Yes position

Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.93

No position

Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.67

Yes position

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah receive between 20,000 and 30,000 votes in the 2025 Honduran presidential election?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.56

Yes position

Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.82

No position

Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 60% and 65%?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.74

Yes position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.88

No position

Will Jeannette Jara and Johannes Kaiser advance to the runoff?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by 5–10%?

No 95% 20 shares
Will Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by 15–20%?

Yes 1% 17 shares
Will Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by 15–20%?

Yes 0.9% 40 shares
Will Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by 15–20%?

Yes 0.8% 63 shares
Will Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by 15–20%?

Yes 0.8% 130 shares
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

No 78% 20.99 shares
Will Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by 5–10%?

No 76% 20 shares
Will Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by less than 5%?

No 85% 1.53 shares
Will Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by 5–10%?

No 62% 26 shares
Will Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by 5–10%?

No 54% 144 shares
Will Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by 10–15%?

Yes 45.4% 55 shares
Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 10–15%?

Yes 97% 7 shares