No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $16.33
- Potential payout
- $16.36
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.48
Polymarket Trader
0x0d957ca80A23A6883a9c041EE6D497d5175AEe59-1769063546601
0x0d957ca80a23a6883a9c041ee6d497d5175aee59
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $27.56
- Realized PnL
- $11.89
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $11.23
- Potential payout
- $11.3
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
ICE forced to unmask by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will there be at least 800 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 99.3% 11.3 shares
- Will Amazon have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,720 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on April 15?No 98% 9.78 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 15?No 97.5% 5.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 15?No 96.9% 4.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 15?No 97.5% 6.25 shares
- Will Amazon have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 0.2% 1,720 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?No 98.8% 9.1 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No 97.4% 5.24 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 15?No 93.3% 5.33 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15?No 94% 6.36 shares
- Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?No 99.1% 11.1 shares