Polymarket Trader

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0x0d9cbf7bec997768b531bb65e84caae40eeac208

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.41
Realized PnL: $70.82
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87
Potential profit: $87
User PnL: -$2.87

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79
Potential profit: $79
User PnL: -$74.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73
Potential profit: $73
User PnL: -$2.77

No position

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53
Potential profit: $53
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $43
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $1.48
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $41.52
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $28
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $8.93
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $0.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.56

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.41

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67

Yes position

Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.09

No position

Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

No position

Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.77

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will Russia join the Board of Peace?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 3.9% 43 shares
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?

No 3.1% 53 shares
Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?

Yes 96.7% 8.21 shares
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?

No 4.9% 32 shares
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?

No 4.8% 102 shares
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?

No 4.5% 38 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 3.8% 73 shares
Will Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Yes 4.3% 26 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

No 98.4% 67 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

No 96.6% 22 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

No 96.7% 22 shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?

No 93.4% 79 shares