Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
bigmacked
0x0da3c0182adf064d490cd863a8ab1d204051e708
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $617.87
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.86K
- Potential profit
- $2.86K
- User PnL
- -$28.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $473.58
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.45
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $33.61
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.89
Yes position
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.4
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.88
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.25
Yes position
Will Barron Trump attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
Yes position
Will Trump say "White House" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will Elon Musk attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will Trump say "America" or "American" first during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will Trump say "Venezuela" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Ivanka Trump attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Mark Zuckerberg attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Trump say "Scam" or "Hoax" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Jeff Bezos attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Another US bank failure by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Will Nancy Pelosi attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?No 0.4% 48,937.5 shares
- Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?No 6.2% 4,149.59 shares
- Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?No 6% 7,126.32 shares
- Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?No 5.7% 6,969.08 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes 11.4% 5,669.11 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 8,587.11 shares
- Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?Yes 10.3% 2,087.69 shares
- Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?No 4.1% 6,227.89 shares
- U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?Yes 10% 971.25 shares
- Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?Yes 14.5% 1,087.5 shares
- Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?Yes 11.7% 424.31 shares
- Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?No 4.5% 1,093.66 shares