Polymarket Trader

Jawnbeary

0x0db2c5f9e83e5ce4d744da46d8fe463676ec4ab1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $371.21
Realized PnL: $1.48K
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $105
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.9K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $35.28
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$14.72

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $53.13
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: $3.13

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.13

Yes position

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $65.2
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$334.8

Yes position

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $987.5
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $13.95
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $512.37
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$86.05

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188.68
Potential profit: $188.68
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.08
Potential profit: $157.08
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.95
Potential profit: $121.95
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.47
Potential profit: $75.47
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $53.87
Potential payout: $59.52
Potential profit: $5.65
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $3.87

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $20.22
Potential payout: $44.44
Potential profit: $24.22
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $10.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $29.8
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Buffalo Sabres advance to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.06
Potential profit: $29.06
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$5

Liam Draxl position

Tyler: Adam Walton vs Liam Draxl

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $15.15
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $928.11

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.78

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.11

No position

Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.19

No position

Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.96

Yes position

Justin Trudeau out as leader of Liberals before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.26

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Will Napoli win the Serie A?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.33

Djurgaarden position

SHL: Froelunda HC vs. Djurgaarden

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.26

No position

Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.55

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.27

Habs position

NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.61

Yes position

Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.13

No position

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-04?

Ends May 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Steelers position

Chiefs vs. Steelers

Ends Jan 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 45% 44.44 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 72% 6.94 shares
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Yes 25% 40 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 59% 16.95 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 70% 14.29 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 22% 22.73 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 53% 75.47 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 51% 19.61 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 72% 6.94 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 8% 125 shares
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 5.3% 188.68 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 41% 121.95 shares