Polymarket Trader

0x0dB810FEf3a3D5D584A6968EB8773808ef9A1D6A-1780939004828

0x0db810fef3a3d5d584a6968eb8773808ef9a1d6a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $687.17
Realized PnL: $20.03
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $6.85
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $112.2
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$3.15

No position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $99.47
Potential payout: $105.31
Potential profit: $5.84
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $19.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $80.5
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $86.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $13.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $5.5

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $90
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $27.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $72.55
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $25.45

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $69.49
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $30.51
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$1.51

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $91.12
Potential payout: $97.4
Potential profit: $6.28
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.32
Potential profit: $80.32
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $35.86
Potential payout: $45.69
Potential profit: $9.82
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $5.86

Yes position

Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Australia?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $32.53
Potential payout: $33.53
Potential profit: $1.01
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.53

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $26.5
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $6.83
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $1.9

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $32.11
Potential payout: $33.19
Potential profit: $1.08
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.11

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $29.51
Potential payout: $32.97
Potential profit: $3.46
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.49

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.77
Potential profit: $30.77
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $18.66
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $5.73
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$1.34

Yes position

US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $11.69
Potential payout: $16.95
Potential profit: $5.26
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $1.69

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.99
Potential profit: $12.99
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $9.94
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $2.56
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.22

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.47

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Dual Mandate" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Yes 8% 125 shares
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Australia?

Yes 12% 41.67 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 73% 20 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 75% 13.33 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 90.4% 33.19 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

No 89.5% 33.53 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 36% 27.78 shares
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Yes 40% 17.21 shares
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Yes 33% 18.5 shares
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?

Yes 54% 27.78 shares
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Yes 28% 35.71 shares
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Yes 2% 50 shares