Polymarket Trader

pechnaud

0x0dbf55a9155d7d9de50f21873b07d60d186bc24f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $181.75
Realized PnL: -$23.52
Win rate: 55%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $93.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $6.5
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $88.25
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $1.75
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $5.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.51

No position

Anthropic CEO arrested?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.32

No position

Khamenei seen in public by March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.29

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.45

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Yes position

GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

No position

Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Over position

Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Under position

Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.45

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.85

Senegal position

Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.36

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.71

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$61.76

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Yes 95% 90 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Senegal 20% 8.19 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Senegal 61% 8.2 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 56.9% 5 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 12% 9.59 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 71% 7.04 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 66% 7.58 shares
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5

Over 9% 11.11 shares
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5

Under 67% 2.99 shares
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Yes 1% 100 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 86% 10 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 58% 10 shares