Polymarket Trader

lyceumdao

0x0dc2ca151d1e58b19506e6fd6b202c940575297b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $86.98
Realized PnL: $2.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Anduril IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $81.76
Potential payout: $584
Potential profit: $502.24
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$17.52

Yes position

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $2.21
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $6.8
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.67

No position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $2.08
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $0.92
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $1.55

No position

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "Anxiety - Doechii" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $597.96

Yes position

Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 21.5%
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $331.02

Milwaukee Admirals position

AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.55

No position

Will Trump say "Think about" during meeting with Netanyahu?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.5

No position

Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $187.34

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.6

Jacksonville State Gamecocks position

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.64

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $104.4

No position

Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $103.14

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 18 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $91.5

Under position

Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.16

Hapoel Tel Aviv position

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketball

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.4

Yes position

Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $64.12

Yes position

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 50 by April 30?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.03

Yes position

Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $54.24

No position

Another US bank failure by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.69

Under position

Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.84

No position

Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.06

Yes position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $41.22

Yes position

Will there be at least 1450 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.62

Yes position

Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.56

Yes position

Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $20.46

Yes position

Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 18%
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $19.45

Yes position

Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.63

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?

No 95% 685 shares
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?

No 95% 461 shares
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?

No 86% 1,146 shares
Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?

No 71% 464 shares
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?

No 70% 612 shares
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?

No 70% 28 shares
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?

No 86% 150 shares
Anduril IPO before 2027?

Yes 8% 73 shares
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?

No 69% 75 shares
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?

No 86.9% 150 shares
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?

No 69% 715 shares
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins

Grand Rapids Griffins 24.9% 965 shares