Polymarket Trader

SplendidAmadeus

0x0dd60a6ddeea6f93659789cac7af6a9d12835f62

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $31.11K
Realized PnL: $36.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $22.12K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $2.87K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $1.89K

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $3.58K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $922.5
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $127.51

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 15-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $2.23K
Potential payout: $2.48K
Potential profit: $249.04
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$43.99

No position

Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $1.29K
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $463.9
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$143.45

Yes position

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $28.39
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$106.71

No position

Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $909.99
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $90
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $102.92

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $403.75
Potential payout: $850
Potential profit: $446.25
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$97.75

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.2%
Current value: $385.79
Potential payout: $506.28
Potential profit: $120.49
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $26.76

Yes position

Will Robert Kenyon finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $148.27
Potential payout: $167.54
Potential profit: $19.27
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $10.64

No position

Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $19.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.9
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.22K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.21K

Minaur position

Australian Open Men's: Hamad Medjedovic vs Alex de Minaur

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76K

No position

Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66K

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66K

Mirra Andreeva position

Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65K

Minaur position

Australian Open Men's: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex de Minaur

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

No position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

Yes position

Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Chargers position

Raiders vs. Chargers

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

Alexander Zverev position

Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Flavio Cobolli position

Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

Andrey Rublev position

Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublev

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Flavio Cobolli position

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Alexander Zverev position

Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Felix Auger-Aliassime position

Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Alex de Minaur position

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Blockx vs Alex de Minaur

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Bills position

Bills vs. Steelers

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Yes 93.5% 350 shares
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Yes 93.7% 2,222 shares
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Yes 95% 224 shares
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Yes 84% 1,750 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 86% 1,281.39 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

No 99.9% 3,850 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 75% 998.81 shares
England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5

Under 99.9% 1,100 shares
England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5

Under 70.2% 1,100 shares
England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5

Under 53.7% 1,100 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 83% 4,775.01 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

No 96% 1,418 shares