AP-2005

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $77.3
Potential payout: $77.42
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 27?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $42.56
Potential payout: $50.37
Potential profit: $7.81
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $49.57
Potential payout: $50.05
Potential profit: $0.48
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $49.9
Potential payout: $50.03
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $48.83
Potential payout: $50.03
Potential profit: $1.2
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $49.64
Potential payout: $50.02
Potential profit: $0.38
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $49.62
Potential payout: $50.02
Potential profit: $0.4
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $49.72
Potential payout: $50.02
Potential profit: $0.3
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $49.92
Potential payout: $50.02
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 27?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $49.84
Potential payout: $50.02
Potential profit: $0.18
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $49.64
Potential payout: $50.02
Potential profit: $0.38
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $49.72
Potential payout: $50.02
Potential profit: $0.3
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on June 27?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $49.59
Potential payout: $50.02
Potential profit: $0.43
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $49.99
Potential payout: $50.02
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $49.63
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $0.38
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $49.43
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $0.58
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C or below on June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $49.98
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 26?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $49.88
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or below on June 27?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $49.91
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C or below on June 27?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $49.83
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $0.18
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $49.98
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on June 27?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $49.88
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $49.91
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on June 27?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $49.76
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on March 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 76°F or higher on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.64

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or higher on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or higher on March 27?